Description

This analysis provides a forecast of IMX10603 prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2026-01-18 0.208346 0.226884 0.246603 0.269187 0.294395 0.321733 0.353712
2026-01-25 0.171257 0.196501 0.225163 0.260317 0.302546 0.351988 0.414763
2026-02-01 0.149197 0.177629 0.211450 0.255061 0.310411 0.379140 0.472245
2026-02-08 0.132690 0.162507 0.199273 0.248587 0.313991 0.399199 0.521044
2026-02-15 0.120618 0.151230 0.190128 0.244071 0.318375 0.419328 0.570825
2026-02-22 0.113819 0.145832 0.187665 0.247529 0.333021 0.453998 0.644396
2026-03-01 0.106352 0.138778 0.182168 0.245953 0.339946 0.477798 0.704200
2026-03-08 0.099298 0.131659 0.175869 0.242428 0.343301 0.496123 0.757153
2026-03-15 0.092432 0.124265 0.168549 0.236634 0.342423 0.507430 0.799526
2026-03-22 0.089954 0.122843 0.169548 0.243099 0.360723 0.550551 0.901137
2026-03-29 0.087169 0.120746 0.169334 0.247561 0.376061 0.590203 1.002055
2026-04-05 0.083566 0.117194 0.166658 0.247858 0.384449 0.618706 1.086154
2026-04-12 0.078525 0.111320 0.160258 0.241985 0.382400 0.629524 1.139486
2026-04-19 0.073476 0.105184 0.153120 0.234435 0.376886 0.633669 1.180518
2026-04-26 0.069534 0.100530 0.148012 0.229855 0.376126 0.646431 1.241429
2026-05-03 0.065682 0.095806 0.142505 0.224170 0.372806 0.653826 1.291728
2026-05-10 0.062494 0.091961 0.138185 0.220198 0.372226 0.666403 1.355588
2026-05-17 0.060956 0.090653 0.137909 0.223241 0.385014 0.707149 1.492274
2026-05-24 0.058670 0.088018 0.135271 0.221854 0.389112 0.730323 1.590566
2026-05-31 0.056224 0.085003 0.131828 0.218752 0.389527 0.745635 1.671728
2026-06-07 0.053585 0.081549 0.127460 0.213650 0.385476 0.750696 1.726829
2026-06-14 0.052988 0.081456 0.128840 0.219343 0.403886 0.808004 1.935775
2026-06-21 0.052117 0.080853 0.129286 0.223269 0.418954 0.859578 2.140692